NepaliSoch
Back to Districts

Siraha

UML led 2022
Madhesh
4 constituencies
UML averaged 21.77%

Review the 2022 winners, see which candidates topped each seat, and tune the sliders to model how small swings could reshape this district's map.

District vote-share sliders

Grounded in 2022 constituency results for this district

Adjust local swing

Shift 2022 vote shares to see how seats move

NCNepali Congress
19.08%FPTP: 0
UMLCPN-UML
21.77%FPTP: 2
MaoistCPN-Maoist Centre
10.17%FPTP: 0
RSPRastriya Swatantra Party
0.93%FPTP: 0
RPPRastriya Prajatantra Party
1.32%FPTP: 0
JSPNJanata Samajbadi Party
18.27%FPTP: 2
USCPN (Unified Socialist)
5.55%FPTP: 0
JPJanamat Party
19.38%FPTP: 0
LSPLoktantrik Samajbadi Party
0.00%FPTP: 0
NUPNagarik Unmukti Party
0.00%FPTP: 0
IndIndependent
0.00%FPTP: 0
NMKPNepal Majdoor Kisan Party
0.00%FPTP: 0
JMRastriya Janamorcha
0.00%FPTP: 0
OthersOthers
3.53%FPTP: 0
Total100%

2022 winners

UML: 2JSPN: 2
Slider projection
UML

Projected seats

4

Potential flips

0

Turnout (2022)

264,202 votes cast

Based on official totals per constituency

Gathbandan Analysis

Coalition Builder for this District

Select 2-4 parties to see combined vote share and potential seat flips

Seats Held

4

of 4

Potential Flips

0

seats could flip

Total Possible

4

of 4

Avg Vote Share

40.06%

combined

Per-Constituency Analysis
Siraha 4Held
Coalition: 39.56%
Siraha 1Held
Coalition: 44.57%
Siraha 3Held
Coalition: 40.43%
Siraha 2Held
Coalition: 35.68%

District demographics

Census 2021

Population

737,606

Median Age

22.2 years

Literacy Rate

56.80%

Urban Population

13.50%

Age Distribution

Children (0-14)32.20%
Youth (15-29)27.50%
Young Adults (30-44)17.80%
Middle-aged (45-59)13.50%
Elderly (60+)9.00%

59.70%

Youth Index (Under 30)

63.80%

Voting Age (18+)

70%

Dependency Ratio

Constituency detail

Winning candidates and projected slider outcome

Siraha 1

UML

Winning candidate: राम शंकर यादव

UML
44.57%
NC
41.42%
JP
10.36%
Others
2.62%
RPP
0.57%
66,106 votes
Margin: 3.15%
Projected winnerUML

2.97% margin with current sliders

Coalition Share44.57%
Coalition already holds this seat

Siraha 2

JSPN

Winning candidate: राज किशोर यादव

JSPN
35.68%
NC
33.98%
JP
24.94%
Others
4.25%
RPP
1.15%
67,768 votes
Margin: 1.70%
Projected winnerJSPN

1.60% margin with current sliders

Coalition Share35.68%
Coalition already holds this seat

Siraha 3

UML

Winning candidate: लिलानाथ श्रेष्ठ

UML
40.43%
Maoist
38.73%
JP
16.06%
Others
2.29%
RPP
1.81%
69,406 votes
Margin: 1.70%
Projected winnerUML

1.62% margin with current sliders

Coalition Share40.43%
Coalition already holds this seat

Siraha 4

JSPN

Winning candidate: बिरेन्द्र प्रसाद महतो

JSPN
39.56%
JP
26.75%
US
24.05%
Others
5.12%
RSP
2.76%
60,922 votes
Margin: 12.82%
Projected winnerJSPN

12.21% margin with current sliders

Coalition Share39.56%
Coalition already holds this seat