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Rupandehi

UML led 2022
Lumbini
5 constituencies
UML averaged 21.81%

Review the 2022 winners, see which candidates topped each seat, and tune the sliders to model how small swings could reshape this district's map.

District vote-share sliders

Grounded in 2022 constituency results for this district

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NCNepali Congress
20.58%FPTP: 0
UMLCPN-UML
21.81%FPTP: 2
MaoistCPN-Maoist Centre
0.00%FPTP: 0
RSPRastriya Swatantra Party
11.22%FPTP: 0
RPPRastriya Prajatantra Party
9.01%FPTP: 1
JSPNJanata Samajbadi Party
0.64%FPTP: 0
USCPN (Unified Socialist)
0.00%FPTP: 0
JPJanamat Party
7.95%FPTP: 0
LSPLoktantrik Samajbadi Party
6.87%FPTP: 1
NUPNagarik Unmukti Party
4.71%FPTP: 0
IndIndependent
0.00%FPTP: 0
NMKPNepal Majdoor Kisan Party
0.00%FPTP: 0
JMRastriya Janamorcha
0.00%FPTP: 0
OthersOthers
17.20%FPTP: 1
Total100%

2022 winners

UML: 3RPP: 1LSP: 1
Slider projection
UML

Projected seats

5

Potential flips

1

Turnout (2022)

407,453 votes cast

Based on official totals per constituency

Gathbandan Analysis

Coalition Builder for this District

Select 2-4 parties to see combined vote share and potential seat flips

Seats Held

3

of 5

Potential Flips

0

seats could flip

Total Possible

3

of 5

Avg Vote Share

30.00%

combined

Per-Constituency Analysis
Rupandehi 5Held
Coalition: 45.74%
Rupandehi 3Held
Coalition: 41.62%
Rupandehi 2Held
Coalition: 35.05%
Rupandehi 1
Coalition: 27.58%Gap: 7.97%
Rupandehi 4
Coalition: 0.00%Gap: 39.44%

District demographics

Census 2021

Population

1,098,040

Median Age

26.5 years

Literacy Rate

78.20%

Urban Population

38.50%

Age Distribution

Children (0-14)25.80%
Youth (15-29)28.50%
Young Adults (30-44)21.20%
Middle-aged (45-59)14.80%
Elderly (60+)9.70%

54.30%

Youth Index (Under 30)

70.80%

Voting Age (18+)

55%

Dependency Ratio

Constituency detail

Winning candidates and projected slider outcome

Rupandehi 1

UML

Winning candidate: छविलाल विश्वकर्मा

Others
35.54%
UML
27.58%
RSP
15.68%
NUP
15.47%
JP
5.73%
90,227 votes
Margin: 3.95%
Projected winnerOthers

7.51% margin with current sliders

Coalition Share27.58%
Coalition already holds this seat

Rupandehi 2

UML

Winning candidate: विष्‍णु प्रसाद पौडेल

UML
35.05%
RSP
33.28%
Others
31.67%
NC
0.00%
Maoist
0.00%
77,508 votes
Margin: 1.77%
Projected winnerUML

1.64% margin with current sliders

Coalition Share35.05%
Coalition already holds this seat

Rupandehi 3

RPP

Winning candidate: दीपक बोहरा

RPP
41.62%
NC
38.58%
RSP
6.57%
NUP
5.39%
Others
4.08%
88,212 votes
Margin: 3.04%
Projected winnerRPP

2.89% margin with current sliders

Coalition Share41.62%
Coalition already holds this seat

Rupandehi 4

LSP

Winning candidate: सर्वेन्द्र नाथ शुक्ला

LSP
39.44%
NC
31.98%
JP
21.87%
JSPN
3.69%
Others
2.37%
71,002 votes
Margin: 7.46%
Projected winnerLSP

7.08% margin with current sliders

Coalition Share0.00%
Gap: 39.44% to flip

Rupandehi 5

UML

Winning candidate: बासु देव घिमिरे

UML
45.74%
NC
33.69%
JP
10.42%
Others
10.15%
Maoist
0.00%
80,504 votes
Margin: 12.05%
Projected winnerUML

11.26% margin with current sliders

Coalition Share45.74%
Coalition already holds this seat