Rautahat

Ind led 2022

Madhesh

4 constituencies

Others averaged 36.59%

Review the 2022 winners, see which candidates topped each seat, and tune the sliders to model how small swings could reshape this district's map.

District vote-share sliders

Grounded in 2022 constituency results for this district

Adjust local swing

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NCNepali Congress

23.15%FPTP: 1

UMLCPN-UML

19.84%FPTP: 0

MaoistCPN-Maoist Centre

3.17%FPTP: 0

RSPRastriya Swatantra Party

1.13%FPTP: 0

RPPRastriya Prajatantra Party

1.05%FPTP: 0

JSPNJanata Samajbadi Party

0.79%FPTP: 0

USCPN (Unified Socialist)

12.44%FPTP: 1

JPJanamat Party

1.20%FPTP: 0

LSPLoktantrik Samajbadi Party

0.00%FPTP: 0

NUPNagarik Unmukti Party

0.64%FPTP: 0

IndIndependent

0.00%FPTP: 0

NMKPNepal Majdoor Kisan Party

0.00%FPTP: 0

JMRastriya Janamorcha

0.00%FPTP: 0

OthersOthers

36.59%FPTP: 2

Total100%

2022 winners

Ind: 2NC: 1US: 1

Slider projection

Others

Projected seats

Potential flips

Turnout (2022)

269,550 votes cast

Based on official totals per constituency

Gathbandan Analysis

Coalition Builder for this District

Select 2-4 parties to see combined vote share and potential seat flips

Seats Held

of 4

Potential Flips

seats could flip

Total Possible

of 4

Avg Vote Share

23.13%

combined

Per-Constituency Analysis

Rautahat 4Held

Coalition: 48.82%

Rautahat 2

Coalition: 43.70%Gap: 7.76%

Rautahat 1

Coalition: 0.00%Gap: 52.37%

Rautahat 3

Coalition: 0.00%Gap: 82.29%

District demographics

Census 2021

Population

745,643

Median Age

21.5 years

Literacy Rate

51.20%

Urban Population

11.80%

Age Distribution

Children (0-14)33.50%

Youth (15-29)27.50%

Young Adults (30-44)17.20%

Middle-aged (45-59)13.00%

Elderly (60+)8.80%

61.00%

Youth Index (Under 30)

62.50%

Voting Age (18+)

73%

Dependency Ratio

Constituency detail

Winning candidates and projected slider outcome

Rautahat 1

Winning candidate: माधव कुमार नेपाल

52.37%

UML

42.06%

Others

3.11%

2.20%

RSP

0.25%

64,009 votes

Margin: 10.31%

Projected winnerUS

9.66% margin with current sliders

Coalition Share0.00%

Gap: 52.37% to flip

Rautahat 2

Ind

Winning candidate: किरण कुमार साह

Others

51.46%

43.70%

JSPN

3.28%

1.55%

UML

0.00%

64,636 votes

Margin: 7.11%

Projected winnerOthers

7.25% margin with current sliders

Coalition Share43.70%

Coalition already holds this seat

Rautahat 3

Ind

Winning candidate: प्रभु साह

Others

82.29%

Maoist

12.06%

NUP

2.43%

RSP

1.42%

1.15%

70,935 votes

Margin: 10.20%

Projected winnerOthers

66.66% margin with current sliders

Coalition Share0.00%

Coalition already holds this seat

Rautahat 4

Winning candidate: देव प्रसाद तिमलसेना

48.82%

UML

37.96%

Others

7.14%

RPP

3.39%

RSP

2.68%

69,970 votes

Margin: 10.86%

Projected winnerNC

10.25% margin with current sliders

Coalition Share48.82%

Coalition already holds this seat