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Parsa

NC led 2022
Madhesh
4 constituencies
NC averaged 37.11%

Review the 2022 winners, see which candidates topped each seat, and tune the sliders to model how small swings could reshape this district's map.

District vote-share sliders

Grounded in 2022 constituency results for this district

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NCNepali Congress
37.11%FPTP: 2
UMLCPN-UML
22.13%FPTP: 1
MaoistCPN-Maoist Centre
0.00%FPTP: 0
RSPRastriya Swatantra Party
0.84%FPTP: 0
RPPRastriya Prajatantra Party
3.60%FPTP: 0
JSPNJanata Samajbadi Party
19.91%FPTP: 1
USCPN (Unified Socialist)
0.00%FPTP: 0
JPJanamat Party
0.42%FPTP: 0
LSPLoktantrik Samajbadi Party
0.49%FPTP: 0
NUPNagarik Unmukti Party
0.00%FPTP: 0
IndIndependent
0.00%FPTP: 0
NMKPNepal Majdoor Kisan Party
0.00%FPTP: 0
JMRastriya Janamorcha
0.00%FPTP: 0
OthersOthers
15.50%FPTP: 0
Total100%

2022 winners

NC: 2UML: 1JSPN: 1
Slider projection
NC

Projected seats

4

Potential flips

0

Turnout (2022)

225,910 votes cast

Based on official totals per constituency

Gathbandan Analysis

Coalition Builder for this District

Select 2-4 parties to see combined vote share and potential seat flips

Seats Held

3

of 4

Potential Flips

0

seats could flip

Total Possible

3

of 4

Avg Vote Share

56.12%

combined

Per-Constituency Analysis
Parsa 4Held
Coalition: 94.64%
Parsa 3Held
Coalition: 78.59%
Parsa 2Held
Coalition: 51.26%
Parsa 1
Coalition: 0.00%Gap: 46.35%

District demographics

Census 2021

Population

658,478

Median Age

22.5 years

Literacy Rate

56.50%

Urban Population

19.80%

Age Distribution

Children (0-14)31.80%
Youth (15-29)28.50%
Young Adults (30-44)18.20%
Middle-aged (45-59)12.80%
Elderly (60+)8.70%

60.30%

Youth Index (Under 30)

64.20%

Voting Age (18+)

68%

Dependency Ratio

Constituency detail

Winning candidates and projected slider outcome

Parsa 1

JSPN

Winning candidate: प्रदिप यादव

JSPN
46.35%
Others
45.88%
RPP
5.47%
LSP
2.30%
NC
0.00%
48,620 votes
Margin: 3.33%
Projected winnerJSPN

0.44% margin with current sliders

Coalition Share0.00%
Gap: 46.35% to flip

Parsa 2

NC

Winning candidate: अजय कुमार चौरसिया

NC
51.26%
JSPN
40.44%
RPP
4.94%
RSP
1.75%
Others
1.61%
55,501 votes
Margin: 10.82%
Projected winnerNC

10.21% margin with current sliders

Coalition Share51.26%
Coalition already holds this seat

Parsa 3

UML

Winning candidate: राज कुमार गुप्ता

UML
39.43%
NC
39.16%
Others
17.55%
RPP
2.36%
RSP
1.50%
61,673 votes
Margin: 0.27%
Projected winnerUML

0.26% margin with current sliders

Coalition Share78.59%
Coalition already holds this seat

Parsa 4

NC

Winning candidate: रमेश रिजाल

NC
51.94%
UML
42.70%
RPP
2.13%
Others
1.66%
JP
1.57%
60,116 votes
Margin: 9.24%
Projected winnerNC

8.71% margin with current sliders

Coalition Share94.64%
Coalition already holds this seat