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Kapilvastu

UML led 2022
Lumbini
3 constituencies
UML averaged 39.99%

Review the 2022 winners, see which candidates topped each seat, and tune the sliders to model how small swings could reshape this district's map.

District vote-share sliders

Grounded in 2022 constituency results for this district

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NCNepali Congress
24.16%FPTP: 1
UMLCPN-UML
39.99%FPTP: 2
MaoistCPN-Maoist Centre
7.91%FPTP: 0
RSPRastriya Swatantra Party
1.85%FPTP: 0
RPPRastriya Prajatantra Party
8.31%FPTP: 0
JSPNJanata Samajbadi Party
0.00%FPTP: 0
USCPN (Unified Socialist)
0.00%FPTP: 0
JPJanamat Party
4.43%FPTP: 0
LSPLoktantrik Samajbadi Party
0.70%FPTP: 0
NUPNagarik Unmukti Party
2.53%FPTP: 0
IndIndependent
0.00%FPTP: 0
NMKPNepal Majdoor Kisan Party
0.00%FPTP: 0
JMRastriya Janamorcha
0.00%FPTP: 0
OthersOthers
10.13%FPTP: 0
Total100%

2022 winners

UML: 2NC: 1
Slider projection
UML

Projected seats

3

Potential flips

0

Turnout (2022)

240,053 votes cast

Based on official totals per constituency

Gathbandan Analysis

Coalition Builder for this District

Select 2-4 parties to see combined vote share and potential seat flips

Seats Held

3

of 3

Potential Flips

0

seats could flip

Total Possible

3

of 3

Avg Vote Share

64.50%

combined

Per-Constituency Analysis
Kapilvastu 2Held
Coalition: 96.26%
Kapilvastu 3Held
Coalition: 57.17%
Kapilvastu 1Held
Coalition: 40.06%

District demographics

Census 2021

Population

623,705

Median Age

23.5 years

Literacy Rate

59.50%

Urban Population

14.80%

Age Distribution

Children (0-14)30.50%
Youth (15-29)27.50%
Young Adults (30-44)18.50%
Middle-aged (45-59)14.00%
Elderly (60+)9.50%

58.00%

Youth Index (Under 30)

65.80%

Voting Age (18+)

67%

Dependency Ratio

Constituency detail

Winning candidates and projected slider outcome

Kapilvastu 1

UML

Winning candidate: बलराम अधिकारी

UML
40.06%
Maoist
21.93%
Others
11.72%
JP
9.70%
NUP
7.02%
86,549 votes
Margin: 18.13%
Projected winnerUML

17.54% margin with current sliders

Coalition Share40.06%
Coalition already holds this seat

Kapilvastu 2

NC

Winning candidate: सुरेन्द्र राज आचार्य

NC
48.33%
UML
47.93%
RPP
1.95%
LSP
1.39%
Others
0.40%
80,730 votes
Margin: 0.39%
Projected winnerNC

0.37% margin with current sliders

Coalition Share96.26%
Coalition already holds this seat

Kapilvastu 3

UML

Winning candidate: मंगल प्रसाद गुप्‍ता

UML
31.08%
NC
26.08%
RPP
19.28%
Others
19.02%
JP
3.08%
72,774 votes
Margin: 5.00%
Projected winnerUML

4.76% margin with current sliders

Coalition Share57.17%
Coalition already holds this seat