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Kailali

NUP led 2022
Sudurpashchim
5 constituencies
NUP averaged 27.35%

Review the 2022 winners, see which candidates topped each seat, and tune the sliders to model how small swings could reshape this district's map.

District vote-share sliders

Grounded in 2022 constituency results for this district

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NCNepali Congress
22.03%FPTP: 2
UMLCPN-UML
25.09%FPTP: 0
MaoistCPN-Maoist Centre
11.01%FPTP: 0
RSPRastriya Swatantra Party
2.51%FPTP: 0
RPPRastriya Prajatantra Party
5.01%FPTP: 0
JSPNJanata Samajbadi Party
0.00%FPTP: 0
USCPN (Unified Socialist)
0.00%FPTP: 0
JPJanamat Party
0.00%FPTP: 0
LSPLoktantrik Samajbadi Party
0.10%FPTP: 0
NUPNagarik Unmukti Party
27.35%FPTP: 3
IndIndependent
0.00%FPTP: 0
NMKPNepal Majdoor Kisan Party
0.00%FPTP: 0
JMRastriya Janamorcha
0.00%FPTP: 0
OthersOthers
6.88%FPTP: 0
Total100%

2022 winners

NUP: 3NC: 2
Slider projection
NUP

Projected seats

5

Potential flips

0

Turnout (2022)

298,440 votes cast

Based on official totals per constituency

Gathbandan Analysis

Coalition Builder for this District

Select 2-4 parties to see combined vote share and potential seat flips

Seats Held

5

of 5

Potential Flips

0

seats could flip

Total Possible

5

of 5

Avg Vote Share

49.26%

combined

Per-Constituency Analysis
Kailali 1Held
Coalition: 79.64%
Kailali 4Held
Coalition: 54.76%
Kailali 2Held
Coalition: 38.57%
Kailali 3Held
Coalition: 38.71%
Kailali 5Held
Coalition: 34.63%

District demographics

Census 2021

Population

917,836

Median Age

24 years

Literacy Rate

69.50%

Urban Population

24.50%

Age Distribution

Children (0-14)28.50%
Youth (15-29)28.50%
Young Adults (30-44)19.50%
Middle-aged (45-59)14.00%
Elderly (60+)9.50%

57.00%

Youth Index (Under 30)

67.80%

Voting Age (18+)

61%

Dependency Ratio

Constituency detail

Winning candidates and projected slider outcome

Kailali 1

NUP

Winning candidate: रन्जिता श्रेष्ठ

NUP
49.94%
NC
29.70%
UML
9.71%
RPP
5.99%
RSP
3.07%
60,878 votes
Margin: 20.24%
Projected winnerNUP

19.28% margin with current sliders

Coalition Share79.64%
Coalition already holds this seat

Kailali 2

NUP

Winning candidate: अरुन कुमार चौधरी

NUP
38.57%
UML
28.44%
Maoist
26.65%
RPP
4.91%
Others
1.35%
56,710 votes
Margin: 10.13%
Projected winnerNUP

9.56% margin with current sliders

Coalition Share38.57%
Coalition already holds this seat

Kailali 3

NUP

Winning candidate: गंगा राम चौधरी

NUP
38.71%
Maoist
29.72%
UML
16.53%
RPP
11.80%
Others
3.23%
59,719 votes
Margin: 8.99%
Projected winnerNUP

8.48% margin with current sliders

Coalition Share38.71%
Coalition already holds this seat

Kailali 4

NC

Winning candidate: विर बहादुर बलायर

NC
44.26%
UML
38.17%
NUP
10.50%
RSP
3.76%
RPP
2.48%
59,367 votes
Margin: 6.08%
Projected winnerNC

5.79% margin with current sliders

Coalition Share54.76%
Coalition already holds this seat

Kailali 5

NC

Winning candidate: डिल्ली राज पन्त

NC
34.63%
UML
32.90%
Others
26.53%
RSP
5.51%
LSP
0.43%
61,766 votes
Margin: 1.74%
Projected winnerNC

1.63% margin with current sliders

Coalition Share34.63%
Coalition already holds this seat