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Dhanusha

UML led 2022
Madhesh
4 constituencies
UML averaged 28.97%

Review the 2022 winners, see which candidates topped each seat, and tune the sliders to model how small swings could reshape this district's map.

District vote-share sliders

Grounded in 2022 constituency results for this district

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NCNepali Congress
17.68%FPTP: 1
UMLCPN-UML
28.97%FPTP: 2
MaoistCPN-Maoist Centre
7.27%FPTP: 0
RSPRastriya Swatantra Party
0.73%FPTP: 0
RPPRastriya Prajatantra Party
3.43%FPTP: 0
JSPNJanata Samajbadi Party
15.42%FPTP: 1
USCPN (Unified Socialist)
4.61%FPTP: 0
JPJanamat Party
10.78%FPTP: 0
LSPLoktantrik Samajbadi Party
8.02%FPTP: 0
NUPNagarik Unmukti Party
0.00%FPTP: 0
IndIndependent
0.00%FPTP: 0
NMKPNepal Majdoor Kisan Party
0.00%FPTP: 0
JMRastriya Janamorcha
0.00%FPTP: 0
OthersOthers
3.11%FPTP: 0
Total100%

2022 winners

UML: 2NC: 1JSPN: 1
Slider projection
UML

Projected seats

4

Potential flips

0

Turnout (2022)

295,424 votes cast

Based on official totals per constituency

Gathbandan Analysis

Coalition Builder for this District

Select 2-4 parties to see combined vote share and potential seat flips

Seats Held

3

of 4

Potential Flips

0

seats could flip

Total Possible

3

of 4

Avg Vote Share

46.15%

combined

Per-Constituency Analysis
Dhanusha 4Held
Coalition: 83.82%
Dhanusha 2Held
Coalition: 51.59%
Dhanusha 3Held
Coalition: 49.18%
Dhanusha 1
Coalition: 0.00%Gap: 37.53%

District demographics

Census 2021

Population

846,620

Median Age

22.8 years

Literacy Rate

59.20%

Urban Population

16.50%

Age Distribution

Children (0-14)31.50%
Youth (15-29)28.20%
Young Adults (30-44)18.50%
Middle-aged (45-59)13.00%
Elderly (60+)8.80%

59.70%

Youth Index (Under 30)

64.50%

Voting Age (18+)

68%

Dependency Ratio

Constituency detail

Winning candidates and projected slider outcome

Dhanusha 1

JSPN

Winning candidate: दीपक कार्की

JSPN
37.53%
Maoist
29.39%
JP
19.79%
RPP
11.32%
Others
1.48%
73,098 votes
Margin: 8.14%
Projected winnerJSPN

7.71% margin with current sliders

Coalition Share0.00%
Gap: 37.53% to flip

Dhanusha 2

NC

Winning candidate: राम कृष्ण यादव

NC
25.90%
UML
25.69%
US
17.52%
JSPN
16.61%
JP
12.87%
77,665 votes
Margin: 0.20%
Projected winnerNC

0.19% margin with current sliders

Coalition Share51.59%
Coalition already holds this seat

Dhanusha 3

UML

Winning candidate: जुली कुमारी महतो (महासेठ)

UML
49.18%
LSP
34.89%
JP
10.86%
Others
3.47%
RPP
0.97%
67,893 votes
Margin: 14.29%
Projected winnerUML

13.56% margin with current sliders

Coalition Share49.18%
Coalition already holds this seat

Dhanusha 4

UML

Winning candidate: रघुबीर महासेठ

UML
41.99%
NC
41.83%
Others
6.84%
JSPN
6.79%
RSP
1.46%
76,768 votes
Margin: 0.16%
Projected winnerUML

0.15% margin with current sliders

Coalition Share83.82%
Coalition already holds this seat