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Bardiya

NC led 2022
Lumbini
2 constituencies
UML averaged 22.86%

Review the 2022 winners, see which candidates topped each seat, and tune the sliders to model how small swings could reshape this district's map.

District vote-share sliders

Grounded in 2022 constituency results for this district

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NCNepali Congress
16.57%FPTP: 1
UMLCPN-UML
22.86%FPTP: 0
MaoistCPN-Maoist Centre
14.28%FPTP: 0
RSPRastriya Swatantra Party
8.06%FPTP: 0
RPPRastriya Prajatantra Party
8.42%FPTP: 0
JSPNJanata Samajbadi Party
0.54%FPTP: 0
USCPN (Unified Socialist)
0.00%FPTP: 0
JPJanamat Party
1.27%FPTP: 0
LSPLoktantrik Samajbadi Party
0.20%FPTP: 0
NUPNagarik Unmukti Party
12.98%FPTP: 0
IndIndependent
0.00%FPTP: 0
NMKPNepal Majdoor Kisan Party
0.00%FPTP: 0
JMRastriya Janamorcha
0.00%FPTP: 0
OthersOthers
14.82%FPTP: 1
Total100%

2022 winners

NC: 1Ind: 1
Slider projection
NC

Projected seats

2

Potential flips

1

Turnout (2022)

184,793 votes cast

Based on official totals per constituency

Gathbandan Analysis

Coalition Builder for this District

Select 2-4 parties to see combined vote share and potential seat flips

Seats Held

1

of 2

Potential Flips

0

seats could flip

Total Possible

1

of 2

Avg Vote Share

15.62%

combined

Per-Constituency Analysis
Bardiya 1Held
Coalition: 31.24%
Bardiya 2
Coalition: 0.00%Gap: 30.86%

District demographics

Census 2021

Population

465,781

Median Age

24.2 years

Literacy Rate

68.80%

Urban Population

16.50%

Age Distribution

Children (0-14)28.20%
Youth (15-29)28.20%
Young Adults (30-44)19.50%
Middle-aged (45-59)14.50%
Elderly (60+)9.60%

56.40%

Youth Index (Under 30)

68.20%

Voting Age (18+)

61%

Dependency Ratio

Constituency detail

Winning candidates and projected slider outcome

Bardiya 1

NC

Winning candidate: संजय कुमार गौतम

NC
31.24%
UML
26.69%
NUP
24.49%
RSP
11.23%
JP
2.40%
97,981 votes
Margin: 4.55%
Projected winnerNC

4.40% margin with current sliders

Coalition Share31.24%
Coalition already holds this seat

Bardiya 2

Ind

Winning candidate: लालविर चौधरी

Others
30.86%
Maoist
30.39%
UML
18.53%
RPP
15.31%
RSP
4.48%
86,812 votes
Margin: 0.16%
Projected winnerOthers

0.44% margin with current sliders

Coalition Share0.00%
Coalition already holds this seat