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Bara

UML led 2022
Madhesh
4 constituencies
UML averaged 29.05%

Review the 2022 winners, see which candidates topped each seat, and tune the sliders to model how small swings could reshape this district's map.

District vote-share sliders

Grounded in 2022 constituency results for this district

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NCNepali Congress
10.94%FPTP: 0
UMLCPN-UML
29.05%FPTP: 2
MaoistCPN-Maoist Centre
4.90%FPTP: 0
RSPRastriya Swatantra Party
3.93%FPTP: 0
RPPRastriya Prajatantra Party
2.27%FPTP: 0
JSPNJanata Samajbadi Party
11.32%FPTP: 0
USCPN (Unified Socialist)
11.05%FPTP: 1
JPJanamat Party
3.40%FPTP: 0
LSPLoktantrik Samajbadi Party
4.36%FPTP: 0
NUPNagarik Unmukti Party
0.53%FPTP: 0
IndIndependent
0.00%FPTP: 0
NMKPNepal Majdoor Kisan Party
0.00%FPTP: 0
JMRastriya Janamorcha
0.00%FPTP: 0
OthersOthers
18.26%FPTP: 1
Total100%

2022 winners

UML: 2JSPN: 1US: 1
Slider projection
UML

Projected seats

4

Potential flips

1

Turnout (2022)

274,652 votes cast

Based on official totals per constituency

Gathbandan Analysis

Coalition Builder for this District

Select 2-4 parties to see combined vote share and potential seat flips

Seats Held

2

of 4

Potential Flips

0

seats could flip

Total Possible

2

of 4

Avg Vote Share

40.07%

combined

Per-Constituency Analysis
Bara 3Held
Coalition: 59.00%
Bara 1Held
Coalition: 50.23%
Bara 4
Coalition: 29.36%Gap: 14.44%
Bara 2
Coalition: 21.68%Gap: 28.76%

District demographics

Census 2021

Population

756,705

Median Age

22.2 years

Literacy Rate

54.20%

Urban Population

14.50%

Age Distribution

Children (0-14)32.20%
Youth (15-29)28.20%
Young Adults (30-44)17.80%
Middle-aged (45-59)13.00%
Elderly (60+)8.80%

60.40%

Youth Index (Under 30)

63.80%

Voting Age (18+)

69%

Dependency Ratio

Constituency detail

Winning candidates and projected slider outcome

Bara 1

UML

Winning candidate: अच्युत प्रसाद मैनाली

UML
50.23%
NC
38.52%
RSP
4.25%
Others
3.34%
RPP
2.30%
78,029 votes
Margin: 11.71%
Projected winnerUML

11.15% margin with current sliders

Coalition Share50.23%
Coalition already holds this seat

Bara 2

JSPN

Winning candidate: रामसहाय प्रसाद यादव

Others
50.45%
JSPN
21.68%
Maoist
21.13%
JP
4.28%
NUP
1.74%
63,742 votes
Margin: 0.56%
Projected winnerOthers

27.32% margin with current sliders

Coalition Share21.68%
Coalition already holds this seat

Bara 3

UML

Winning candidate: ज्वाला कुमारी साह

UML
31.83%
JSPN
27.16%
LSP
18.81%
Others
9.60%
RSP
5.63%
63,615 votes
Margin: 4.67%
Projected winnerUML

4.52% margin with current sliders

Coalition Share59.00%
Coalition already holds this seat

Bara 4

US

Winning candidate: कृष्ण कुमार श्रेष्ठ

US
43.80%
UML
29.36%
Others
13.41%
RSP
5.61%
RPP
4.63%
69,266 votes
Margin: 14.44%
Projected winnerUS

13.76% margin with current sliders

Coalition Share29.36%
Gap: 14.44% to flip